Within the misguided age of PPR, vast receivers have come to rule fantasy soccer. Positive, operating backs nonetheless checker the highest of draft boards, but it surely ain’t just like the previous days. Receivers populate 15 of the Madman’s high 21 total rankings — partly as a result of WR well being is much less unstable, they rating on par with RBs on a degree enjoying subject, then they get a man-made PPR increase.
However anybody who has ever performed fantasy sports activities is aware of rankings and projections will not be the identical as outcomes. Listed below are a number of the WR areas the place the Madman appears to stray from the lots.
Don’t freak out about holdouts
Usually the enterprise facet of soccer takes care of itself earlier than interfering with the season. Usually. Positive, there are uncommon holdouts that stretch into the season. We will consider two: Emmitt Smith missed two video games greater than 20 years in the past (1993), and Le’Veon Bell sat out a whole season in 2018.
So we’re not sweating the den of discontent round CeeDee Lamb and Ja’Marr Chase. We’re drafting them as if they may play all season.
Brandon Aiyuk is a bit completely different, since we predict it’s attainable he will get traded, which might alter his forecast.
A full Kupp
The 2021 high fantasy WR handled ankle points in 2022 then hamstring and ankle final season. By all accounts he’s totally wholesome this season, and it’s 2023 breakout Puka Nacua who’s nursing a knee harm. We count on a bounce-back from Kupp and regression by Nacua, sufficient that Kupp ranks barely forward — regardless of Nacua’s robust edge in common draft place.
Terry gonna be scary
With the commerce of Jahan Dotson to the Eagles, we count on Commanders rookie QB Jayden Daniels to lean much more closely on high WR Terry McLaurin than initially thought. Be aware: We’re additionally giving a bump to tight finish Zach Ertz, from method off to barely on the radar.
Gárbage á trois
Watch out for groups which have three standout wideouts. Individuals can guess, however nobody is for certain what the goal distribution goes to be between Nico Collins, Tank Dell and Stefon Diggs in Houston, or DJ Moore, Keenan Allen and Rome Odunze in Chicago, or the foursome of Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs, Jayden Reed and Dontayvion Wicks for the Packers. If we goal any of those guys, may as effectively be the most affordable.
Fantasy Soccer DVQ Explainer
Hop out of the pool, unpack your trip suitcase, boot up your laptop computer and prepare, as a result of fantasy soccer season is again.
The Fantasy Madman has returned with the most recent iteration of his DVQ.
The Draft Worth Quotient is a participant score system that assigns one common quantity for each participant. This worth initiatives the purpose within the draft at which a participant’s projected manufacturing will match the estimated draft choose worth.
Since there’s a wider separation amongst manufacturing on the high, so too is there a wider hole between DVQ values on the high of the rankings.
The participant projections takes into consideration enjoying time, anticipated use/touches, teaching tendencies, half efficiency and harm historical past. The DVQ measures these projections in opposition to a participant’s schedule and elements in positional depth and worth above substitute.
These rankings are up to date commonly.
The QB drawback
Simply as Sam Darnold is dragging down our Justin Jefferson projections, so is Daniel Jones for rookie WR Malik Nabers. To a lesser diploma, we put Chris Olave on this class — his price is just too excessive to depend on David Carr.
One other Fowl tub
The Falcons have burned us earlier than — as a result of they’ve proficient gamers, however the teaching employees saved defying widespread sense of their utilization. Now Arthur Smith is gone, and so they have a QB improve in Kirk Cousins. So usually Drake London (or Kyle Pitts, or Bijan Robinson) would have burned us too typically to revisit. However we’re giving them another go on the previous and retaining them on our board.
Late heaves
When you attain the middle-late rounds, shoot for upside. Dodge guys like DeAndre Hopkins, Tyler Lockett, and so forth. Discover guys with good QBs and unclear goal distribution. Particularly, it’s odd that Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy are nonetheless out there as late as they’re — significantly after the harm to Hollywood Brown.
We’re involved in Christian Kirk or Brian Thomas Jr. at related draft spots. Joshua Palmer or Ladd McConkey from the Chargers have late-round upside. We’ll roll the cube on Keon Coleman, Khalil Shakir or Curtis Samuel late simply because we now have confidence Josh Allen will set up a reference to considered one of them.
Nab the correct WRs on the proper instances, and so they can carry you to a title.