Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 11/8/24

12:16
Eric A Longenhagen: Howdy from sunny Tempe, Arizona the place final weekend I went folks watching up by the faculty to see some Halloween craziness, and as an alternative the girl sitting subsequent to me on the bar had a seizure or a stroke or one thing and I acquired to play paramedic in entrance of like 24 folks. Generally issues don’t go the way in which you intend.
12:16
AN1: How are you feeling on Creed Willems? He has smoked some balls out west. Doesn’t Ok a ton both and is 21 for the primary half of 2025. Something there?
12:18
Eric A Longenhagen: I’ll take the beneath. He has energy however chases a ton for a 1B and I’m undecided how lengthy he’s going to be athletically viable. Some model-driven group would in all probability take him in a deal, although.
12:18
Dk: Would you commerce Tong, Williams and Gilbert for Crochet? Would it not be sufficient?
12:20
Eric A Longenhagen: I’d be making an attempt to do higher than that (I’d somewhat have Sproat than both Tong or Gilbert by form of so much, and I’d must pry away at the very least one among Baty or Ronny Mo) however I recognize you together with Jett, who I believe is gonna be good.
12:20
Scott M.: What do you make of Josue Briceno and Thayron Liranzo’s AFL performances to this point? And what’s the chance both will stick at catcher?
12:21
Eric A Longenhagen: Each good, Liranzo method higher shot to stay again there as a result of he undoubtedly has the arm and construct.
12:21
Ralph: If most of NYY sources go to Soto, do you assume Ben Rice and/or Caleb Durbin can deal with important PA for them subsequent yr?
12:22
Eric A Longenhagen: I like Durbin as a scrappy utility piece and assume Rice is a fringe 40-man kind, so that will not be supreme.
12:22
Matt: What place does Christian Moore find yourself at? Heard some rumblings that he was enjoying some 3B and outfield in instructs? Undecided if these have been true.
12:22
Eric A Longenhagen: All my Instructs seems to be have been with him at 2B
12:22
Tacoby Bellsbury: What do you discover most enjoyable in baseball, and the way has that modified throughout your profession?
12:23
Eric A Longenhagen: Discovering new gamers. I used to be watching Angels DSL stuff in opposition to the Giants final week and a few of SF’s guys have been actually thrilling. To get completely blindsided like that actually lights me up.
12:25
Eric A Longenhagen: I believe your group’s video games are all gonna be over in like 2:15 with that assortment of chasers you bought there. I do not know how you probably did with out everybody else’s roster however at first look it’s simply an okay group.
12:25
Alek: Even with the respectable AFL stats i assume you’re nonetheless out on Robert Hassell as an everyday?
12:26
Eric A Longenhagen: Right. Assume his arms work effectively sufficient for him to be an element time, decrease impression man. He simply hasn’t gotten a lot stronger.
12:26
Jim: Do you assume the Braves must make modifications to their worldwide scouting division? They aren’t hitting on their latest latin gamers and it’s actually effecting their system depth.
12:28
Eric A Longenhagen: It’s extra about their method than the rest. Whenever you put all of your eggs in a single or two Diego Benitez or Jose Perdomo kind baskets after which that participant instantly struggles, you mainly punted a complete class.
12:29
Eric A Longenhagen: It’s time for them to unfold it out once more. However they’ve acquired $3 and $4 mil commits at the very least two of the subsequent couple years
12:30
171: Is Cam Weston a factor? He had a fairly good yr however the velo appears lower than fascinating
12:30
Eric A Longenhagen: This can be a low slot Orioles lefty who carved Double-A this yr…
12:31
Eric A Longenhagen: I believe he’s a factor in a real-world baseball sense. He’s a misleading low slot man who instructions an excellent slider. Is he a mid-rotation starter on a playoff group? No, however I believe he might be an excellent swingman/lengthy reliever and debut in 2025.
12:31
Eric: When do the group lists begin do you intend to alter the order of the way you launch them?
12:32
Eric A Longenhagen: Subsequent week. Overseas professionals, Angels, A’s to start out. Cubs/Giants/Rockies/D’Backs (not essentially in that order) after that.
12:32
Eric A Longenhagen: Then I’ll in all probability shift to groups based mostly in Florida
12:33
Leo Wants a New Pair of Footwear: Any dope on highschool draftees who’ve but to make their official professional debut however whose work on the advanced adjusts your pre-draft analysis up or down?
12:36
Eric A Longenhagen: The fellows who get like mid six figures who I didn’t know a ton about previous to the draft (my operating record of these guys: Bo Walker ARI, Eli Lovich CHC, Andrew Tess BAL, Edgar Colon CIN, Jude Warwick DET, Andy Polanco SFG, Troy Guthrie TOR) can undoubtedly transfer the needle however normally I believe two years of how they seemed trumps 2 weeks of how they do, good or dangerous.
12:36
Jimmy: Favourite riser from 2024?
12:36
Eric A Longenhagen: Go get that man
12:37
Chris: Favourite bat prospects that nobody has heard about (exterior high 100ish), that you simply assume might explode subsequent season?
12:39
Jonathan: I really like the depth and breadth of your scouting reviews and don’t assume there’s something comparable that’s public-facing. <3  The publication pace is frustratingly sluggish but it surely looks as if a mandatory by-product of the reviews’ prime quality + the truth that you don’t have a group of scouts working with you.  My questions:  in the event you instantly had the identical entry to tons of video (and possibly biomechanics markers/metrics to assist type/parse the video) {that a} group’s video scout had, (1) to what extent would it not assist with pace, and (2) to what extent do you assume your reviews may endure?
12:40
Eric A Longenhagen: Thanks. I believe my nature is such that extra data would sluggish me down as it will give me yet one more factor to think about and attempt to talk within the reviews.
12:40
Some kinda Mook: No query, simply wish to say that I’m very excited in your prospecting this offseason. Please distract us.
12:42
Eric A Longenhagen: I’ve combined/responsible emotions about whether or not I’m really doing the precise factor by immersing myself in sports activities as a method of coping with the chaos somewhat than making use of myself to one thing substantive, like serving to repair schooling in Arizona. However rattling do I really like watching Lamar Jackson and sure I’ll spend three hours saying “wow” out loud to the cats on a Thursday night time.
12:42
Dougie Jones: On condition that his professional struggles appear to jibe with the specifics of your pre-draft hit instrument considerations, ought to we be faster to spherical down on Charlie Condon than the scale of the pattern would in any other case recommend?
12:43
Eric A Longenhagen: I in all probability will.
12:43
PB: How a lot do groups really worth the autumn league? Appears like there’s loads of variance and noise related to the outcomes.
12:45
Eric A Longenhagen: With the stats there may be, however the look can transfer the needle. Handful of potential Rule 5 guys solidify a spot or not right here, you’re wanting on the Eriq Swans of the world and contemplating the way in which he’s been modified by an org that’s good at this, and so on. Tons to see, mainly none of it anybody’s ISO.
12:45
Eric A Longenhagen: Jenkins, not shut.
12:45
Eric A Longenhagen: Hope has actual hit instrument threat. He’s acquired energy and pace however is gonna Ok a ton.
12:45
Carl: Jesus Made has loads of hype. I attempt to mood my pleasure because it’s simply the DSL. However I actually must be excited, proper? Him and Cooper Pratt makes for a promising future for the Brewers shortstop place.
12:45
Eric A Longenhagen: Made seems to be nice on a spreadsheet however I wanna see him earlier than I am going nuts
12:45
Large Fan: Do you assume Drake Baldwin is the #2 catcher in Atlanta subsequent season?
12:46
Eric A Longenhagen: Beginning to, and I believe he’d deal with it wonderful. Lengthy offseason, although.
12:46
Benjamin: Ballesteros or Liranzo have a greater shot to stay at C?
12:46
Eric A Longenhagen: Liranzo. Each throw effectively and are dangerous at different issues, Ballesteros is constructed like mini John Goodman and may not be capable of transfer effectively sufficient again there.
12:47
Leric A Ongenhagen: Leonardo Bernal had an amazing ’24, is performing effectively within the AFL, and is at AA as a 20 yr previous catcher. Will he make the highest 100?
12:47
Eric A Longenhagen: I’d say beter than 50/50 he does. Lefty-hitting catcher with plus bat pace. One other man the place his construct is such that IDK what it’ll seems to be like when he’s 26-28, ya know?
12:49
Visitor: Has anybody popped in your Angels seems to be this fall?
12:51
Eminor3rd: Have you ever had an opportunity to get seems to be/opinions on Shunpeita Yamashita (Orix) or Takahisa Hayakawa (Rakuten) in NPB? The seemed like a possible generational man earlier than taking a step backward final yr, and the latter lastly broke out a yr or two after being fairly hyped.
12:51
Eric A Longenhagen: Yamashita is the actual deal for me. Struggled and was demoted early, got here again with a vengeance late. Three plus pitches and a QB construct at age 22? Sure please.
12:51
Eric A Longenhagen: I believe he’s pitching “prospect” no. 2 in NPB behind Sasaki
12:52
Eric A Longenhagen: I like Hayakawa however there are loads of guys like him over there, smaller-framed with sneaky 89-91mph heaters, breaking stuff that lives off axis/slot, and an excellent changeup. Extra generic backend kind. Inoue is my favourite man over there who matches this description, assume he’s a particular athlete.
12:53
emh1969: How do repeated accidents issue right into a participant’s rating? I’m pondering of Chase DeLauter right here.
12:53
Eric A Longenhagen: I hear ya, particularly when it’s the identical factor again and again prefer it has been with DeLauter’s toes and ankles I believe it has to.
12:53
Prospecter: Do you assume Lazaro Montes‘ season was a internet constructive or damaging?  Outcomes are there however the whiff considerations are actual
12:54
Eric A Longenhagen: Optimistic however I’ll nonetheless in all probability be the low man on him this offseason. I agree there are points masked by SEA’s hitting environments in A/A+ ball. Similar has been true of loads of guys earlier than him like Clase and Locklear. Crushing in NWL, again to earth after promotion
12:54
likelihood: Is Andrew Painter exhibiting sufficient to reclaim his elite prospect standing?
12:55
Eric A Longenhagen: sure, launch was much less constant throughout his final outing tho
12:55
Philip: If Sugano indicators with a MLB group, how are you ranking him in a FYPD?  Do you assume he might have a few top-40 SP years in him?  Thanks!
12:55
Eric A Longenhagen: I’ve a forty five on him. 70 command of 40 stuff
12:56
Say Extra: Acquired one identify that particularly stood out amongst Giants DSL surprises?
12:56
Eric A Longenhagen: smiling_imp
12:57
Yovani Gallardo: Hello Eric, thanks once more for doing this chat! I needed to ask when you have ideas on this yr’s IFA class (KBO, NPB and so on), particularly on the NPB facet. Additionally questioning when you have guys you’re keeping track of in NPB that’s not essentially coming over this offseason (like studying about Shunpeita Yamashita was numerous enjoyable at the very least for me!).
12:58
Eric A Longenhagen: Extra on this subsequent week however yeah. I believe Kazuna Okamoto is  sizzling identify to know for this offseason. Loopy pull/elevate spray chart, a la Isaac Paredes. I’m skeptical he can really hit however groups who care about airborne pull are gonna be on him.
12:59
Eric A Longenhagen: Okamoto and the NPB Cubans (Livan Moinelo, Raidel Martinez) play in Premier12 this weekend and must be watched…
1:00
Eric A Longenhagen: Taisei Ota is one other identify to know, monster aid stuff
1:00
Eric A Longenhagen: Large bat pace, 1B solely athlete for me, don’t love how upright his entrance facet is all through his swing. There are scouts who actually like him, I’ve been apprehensive.
1:01
McGraw45: I really feel like I keep in mind early reviews that Salas and DeVries seemed good within the fall league. Did that maintain?
1:01
Eric A Longenhagen: Salas seems to be exhausted now, De Vries nonetheless hitting
1:01
Adam: How have Xaiver Isaac and Tre’ Morgan seemed within the outfield?
1:02
Eric A Longenhagen: Morgan has had bother retaining his footing in my seems to be. Isaac is extra comfy operating however his routes want work
1:02
Johnny5Alive: Re: crochet. He’s solely finished this as soon as and it’s on his final yr of management, how might he probably demand that a lot. Transformed relieveer with no train document and an harm historical past and he wants 3 high prospects for a deal?
1:02
Eric A Longenhagen: Sounds such as you’d simply be out on Crochet
1:04
Eric A Longenhagen: Assume he might have a peak in his late-20s, loopy pace and must be an excellent CF over time, may finally discover a option to make sufficient contact to be an on a regular basis man throughout that peak
1:04
Jack: Colt Emerson hits the ball actually exhausting however doesn’t appear to hit it over the fence. Is he a legit future top-5 prospect in all of baseball and can he stick at SS?
1:05
Eric A Longenhagen: That’s a little bit wealthy for me. I really like how explosive his arms are however that bat path is a little bit too much like Gavin Lux for me to be comfy going all in to that diploma.
1:05
Eric A Longenhagen: He’s not a SS for me
1:05
Huzzah!: Thanks is all. Love the chats.
1:05
Eric A Longenhagen: Gracias, gonna take a number of extra actual quick for 10 min or so
1:05
Jace, the Thoughts Sculptor: Ideas on the prolonged rotation window for Commonplace? Or do you play a unique format?
1:06
Eric A Longenhagen: I are likely to draft. The units come out too quick for me to really feel like I’m maintaining with normal.
1:06
JK: Ideas on Bryce Eldridge? AFL and full season, thanks for all you do!
1:06
Eric A Longenhagen: Seemed drained right here earlier than he went residence. I’ll have him towards the again of the highest 100. Nonetheless a 1B with Ok threat, 70 energy although.
1:07
Andre Thee Large: In relation to gamers more likely to graduate to the MLB in 2025 and 2026, would you somewhat have the Rays or Purple Sox system?
1:07
Eric A Longenhagen: Boston
1:07
victoria: Will Ballesteros’ bat play as a primary division starter at 1b?
1:07
Eric A Longenhagen: Nah, first division is sort of a high 15 man.
1:07
Darren: Thanks for the chat! Have you ever seen Carter Jensen within the AFL?  How does he look and what place do you assume he’ll play?
1:09
Eric A Longenhagen: Yep, have seen him a bunch. Assume he’ll catch regardless of a few of his points. Tremendous large, aggressive transfer ahead within the field generates a ton of energy and Ok’s. I like him however assume it’ll take some time for him to tone that down. Extra of a mid-20s breakout man than somebody racing there to assist quick time period
1:09
Visitor: Who’s your favourite FA this yr that’s exterior the highest 25-or so?
1:10
Eric A Longenhagen: I like Conforto and Carlos Santana so far as guys who didn’t make Ben’s high 25
1:11
Fishfan: Are you shopping for into Jacob Berry’s second half? I do know in early June you stated he hadn’t actually hit in any respect
1:12
Eric A Longenhagen: Positively swung and missed much less however there nonetheless isn’t 1B energy
1:12
Leric A Ongenhagen: guide recs for the offseason? baseball and non-baseball
1:12
Eric A Longenhagen: It’s a 50
1:13
Eric A Longenhagen: Naomi Klein’s Doppleganger is subsequent for me
1:13
Eric A Longenhagen: For those who like fiction, particularly sci fi, I like Octavia Butler
1:14
Andre Thee Large: I don’t perceive Getz saying that the WS are specializing in place participant return in any Crochet commerce. Whenever you want the whole lot, why not simply take the very best deal?
1:14
Eric A Longenhagen: I believe it’s an excellent rule of thumb to get again an on a regular basis place participant if you commerce a stud
1:16
Eric A Longenhagen: Okay ya’ll, I’ve gotta make some snacks for a home warming occasion tonight. You need to watch Premier12 and Fall Stars this weekend. I’m excited for prospect lists to start out rolling out and stay up for chatting with you on Semifinal Day subsequent week. I swear I really like you.

 

Eric Longenhagen is from Catasauqua, PA and at the moment lives in Tempe, AZ. He spent 4 years working for the Phillies Triple-A affiliate, two with Baseball Data Options and two contributing to prospect protection at ESPN.com. Earlier work may also be discovered at Sports activities On Earth, CrashburnAlley and Prospect Insider.

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